So, then, should the supreme court seek to impose limits on the legislature?
In favor of finding things constitutional (i.e., in favor of the dissent):
The feds say "whatever, CA, but our laws still apply."
This is pretty much just like Lopez, right? Well, no: here, the court says this is constitutional. Drug trade in general is an ICC problem. If the feds can't regulate the pieces of this more general problem, then the whole thing falls apart. So Lopez is distinguished: guns in schools isn't a part of some larger grander scheme.
So the Lopez majority is now down to 3 from 5. The court isn't rushing to restrict federal power under the ICC. And this diminishes the impact of Lopez overall.
Originally, the government could only tax in proportion to the census (i.e., could not tax a person). And originally the government didn't need much money-- excise taxes were plenty enough. The civil war was the occaision of the first controversial tax: a modest income tax. This would have been contested, but the war ended before the challenge got to SCOTUS. But the government, and its appetite, expanded, and in the late 1800s, it began to tax incomes just to pay for its own operations: only 2% of the population paid only 2% of their income.
People challenged and resisted, on the grounds that this was not based on the census, and was therefore unconsitutional. And SCOTUS, in 1895, in Pollack holds that indeed this is unconstitutional. This was the second (after Dredd Scott) time that SCOTUS truly exercised the power of judicial review.
And so, swiftly, the constitution was amended to allow income taxing. Unanimous in the senate, and nearly so in the house. And in 1913, we got 16A. That same year, we get the amendment changing how senators are elected.
Both of these amendments have a significant impact, but 16A is bigger. Congress is now free to levy income and other taxes. Nowadays, the fed collects about $3T. This isn't legally controversial, but it has some big implications.
The federal taxing ability increases the momentum of the growth of federal power over the states. The states are in competition with one another (nobody wants to be the taxiest). The feds are only competing with offshore competition, but Americans are a more captive audience-- it's one thing to go to IL from WI, but it's another thing to emigrate.
The feds allow the states to issue tax-free municipal bonds. If the feds started taxing this, it would have a profound impact on the price at which states could borrow money.
Also, the power to tax is the power not only to destroy, but also to regulate. So the tax system is used for purposes beyond just raising revenue. Oliver Wendell Holmes left his entire estate to the federal government, but not many people feel that way. Tax avoidance: if the government taxes something, then don't do it. That's different from tax evasion (illegally not paying taxes).
Note that the Carter Coal decision represents the court challenging the motives of the federal government. This is a point of debate-- do we want the court deciding questioning the reasons behind federal actions? Of course that decision is before court-packing (holding that regulation by taxation was a sham, and couldn't be used as a tactic for enforcing behavior that couldn't constitutionally be mandated).
But consider the machine-gun tax. The cost of enforcing it actually exceeded the revenue it brought in. But the policy was to find out who owned and traded in machine guns. Prior to court-packing, this would have been perceived as a regulation in disguise. Nowadays, though, that's A-OK. The tax code, as a result, has a lot of stuff to induce desirable behavior and to retard undesirable behavior.
Consider landlord-tenant laws: there are changes galore, but the quality of housing stays about the same. So we give $20B to HUD, and that makes some differences. But if we adjust the rate of accelerated depreciation for housing (giving a rapid depreciation write-off), just a little bit, we can induce massive changes of investment. So the taxing code is a large source of federal power, beyond just getting money.
This is a controversial aspect of tax. It's settled law, but the magnitude and the complexity are problematic: lots of ordinary people wouldn't think of filing their own tax returns. The amount of money spent completing the tax forms (not paying the taxes, mind you) is between $40B/year and $200B/year, depending on the year and what you measure. As a result, there's pressure to revert to a tax code that just raises revenue, in order to cut that drag.
That is opposed both by CPAs and lawyers, who are very effective lobbyists.
The third impact of the taxing power is the power to shift money. The federal government can spend that money: either directly, or in a way that induces behavior changes (i.e., a carrot for people who want to receive the money).
The government is empowered to spend "for the general welfare" of the US. Note that spending is not just a function of the taxing power, but also of the borrowing power. How much can the federal government borrow? We don't yet know. Note that the actual federal debt is beyond just legal promissory notes: there's social security and FDIC insurance. We're about to increase that promise by an additional $150K/account. This will be probably an $8T increase in obligations if there are widespread bank failures. These "debts" are not on the books. Accountants doing this would go to jail.
Anyway, are there limits ("the general welfare") on how the government can spend its money? Before court-packing, yes. The military was general. The last decision (by Roberts in 1936) seriously limiting government spending was to strike down a cash incentive for people who signed on to new deal agricultural policies. That seemed not to be in the general welfare. But then in 1937, Roberts overturns that prior decision, and the supreme court upholds several big spending cases (workman's comp, social security, etc.). With only very minor exceptions, the court has not looked back.
Grove City College is cited in the FAIR case. Grove City was a college that wanted to be totally independent from the government. Their whole reason for being is to be apart from government. Well, then there's gender equality legislation: every institution that receives federal money has to promise not to discriminate and file some forms. Grove City says they don't discriminate, but never mind: they do not play this federal game. So is it possible to be independent under the spending clause in the US? No, says SCOTUS: even if you don't take US federal money, your students take federal loans. That means you are getting the money. At least the financial aid office... maybe not the athletic department. Powell's dissent is interesting: even though the federal government has won this fight over forms, NO difference has been made with respect to gender discrimination.
Why would law schools deny access to JAG recruiters? Because they object to "don't ask-don't tell." (requiring people to remain secret if they wanted to serve). Clinton had promised to be responsive to the needs of the gay community, and the first thing he did was to say there would be no discrimination against gays in the military. But tactical error: he forgot to consult the military (who already suspected him of dodging the draft and being about to cut their budget). So there was protest, and the military has a lot of congressional clout. Much debate, etc. Note that the "don't-ask-don't-tell" policy that resulted is a Federal statute, not a military policy.
Anyway, law schools tried to prevent military recruiters from coming, and Solomon (rep from NY) got an act passed saying that federal funding would be cut. Not student loans, but all kinds of other stuff. Across the board. In a good year, that would be $500M for the UW. The law schools challenged this.
The court rejects the freedom of speech/freedom of association and equal protection arguments (see Con Law II). The court says that congress may do this. Support throughout the constitution: raise and support armies, etc. Almost half of Art I, § 3 covers military stuff (there is no more federal institution than the army).
Since congress has the power to do this elsewhere, what difference does it make that they hinged it on the spending clause? It could just as well have been interstate commerce: does law school affect interstate commerce? Sure! It's easy!
As to the 1A concerns, the law schools aren't obliged to speak. All they have to do is let the recruiters come along. This also isn't like the organizers of parades (who can't be forced to have floats they don't agree with): the law school can send whatever messages it pleases. It just has to let the recruiters come. The law school is not associating with the military, and is not forced to support the military: it just has to allow the militart equal access. So 1A not so much here, and congress lots here, so congress wins.
"I support this because it is reasonable:" a circular argument. Does the spending clause power completely override 1A? The constitution contains potential for conflict, apparently. There must be limits to the power granted to any one clause: if we grant one clause supremacy over the others, we can just throw the whole thing out.
The spending clause is subtle: at $90K/second (rate of federal spending), the federal government can induce anyone to do anything. This only looks benign: we are "induced" to do something, not "coerced." But there's coercion right behind that inducement.
The law school's 1A argument is a tricky one: law schools are using 1A to justify kicking out people they don't agree with. :)
Part of the debate here is federalism. The feds (including SCOTUS) don't want local restrictions on national/military policy.
Another argument: this is the government's money. If they want law schools to accept recruiters, they can use it in this way. Schools are free not to take the money.
And judicial review is present here, too: this is an issue that has made it through the military, the congress, and the executive branch: who is the court to say they're all wrong at this point?
And also, on the merits, it's just short-sighted to kick the recruiters out. We actually need lawyers in the military: why would law schools want fewer lawyers in the military? We also benefit from a volunteer army. If we make it too hard for them to recruit, we'll be sorry. The army protects us, after all. Holmes went right off to fight in the civil war, which was quite a dangerous war by modern standards.
Against the outcome of the court: